Market Commentary Q2 2026
Two themes continue to dominate: Geopolitics and Technology. The US - Iran war has reached an uneasy and uncertain ceasefire as neither side seems keen on continuing major hostilities. Despite some occasional exchanges of missiles, the oil price has declined from a peak of US$120 per barrel in May to US$74 at the quarter-end, effectively the same price as just before the outbreak of hostilities. This is despite the fact that supplies from the Gulf will remain materially below pre war volumes for sometime.

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